Meanwhile, the EU extended the brexit deadline until January 31, 2020.
In early elections to the United Kingdom Parliament, if they do take place, the ruling Conservative Party is likely to win. This conclusion was reached by the British politicians interviewed in the European Parliament. On the evening of October 28, MPs again rejected Boris Johnson’s proposal to call a vote on December 12, but the Government has no intention of stopping there. Earlier in the day, the European Council announced the date of the country’s new postponement of the country’s exit from the EU – the divorce with Britain is due on January 31, 2020 with the possibility of completing Brexit earlier than the specified deadline.
Position flexible but firm
On the morning of October 28, the EU finally announced a specific deadline for the withdrawal of the kingdom. As wanted in the British Parliament, Brussels set an extreme date of January 31, 2020. At the same time, if in the near future the parties ratify the amended agreement and complete all formalities, Brexit may take place earlier. According to a source in the European Council, the 27 post-presidencies of the EU countries worked throughout the weekend to agree on the date of the 27 post-presidencies of the EU countries.
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson fought to the last to complete the epic with Brexit on October 31, 2019. However, two days before the exit of the House of Commons did not approve his deal with the EU, and the British prime minister had to admit: the plan to triumphantly withdraw the country from the union within the agreed time frame he failed.
Johnson’s reaction to the Brussels decision became known later in the evening. In a letter to Tusk, he agreed to the proposed postponement and urged European leaders not to consider the issue of the fourth postponement beyond January 31.
In the British political establishment, the news of the postponement was appreciated differently.
However, both supporters of EU membership and the adepts of a radical Brexit agreed: under the circumstances, the postponement of the divorce was necessary.
“Delaying is very good,” said Bill Newton Dunn, a member of the EP from the pro-European Liberal Democrats. The 27 EU leaders should make it clear that this is the latest move and that Britain should use it to hold a general election or referendum.
On the other, the anti-European pole believes that a reprieve is needed to resolve the organizing issues and thus leave the union on the most favorable terms for Britain.
“Uncertainty is not a good scenario, but delaying a deal and holding an election is much better than a second referendum, which will prove extremely toxic, will lead to more division and will not solve anything,” said a member of the EP from the Party. Brexit, united supporters of a radical break with the EU, John Longworth.
Northern Ireland, whose fate was decided as part of the deal negotiations, is also confident that extending Brexit is key for the kingdom.
For the Johnson government, the second scenario has now become the only acceptable option. In the same letter to Tusk, he said he planned to use the time available to hold a general election so that the new parliament could solve the Brexit problem. Discussions began in the House of Commons that evening. Johnson said in Parliament that he did not believe the current “House of Commons could make important decisions for the people, whether they were about Brexit or anything else.” But MPs rejected the prime minister’s proposal to call an election on December 12 – out of 434 people (the required two-thirds) he supported only 299. However, the government did not give up – Boris Johnson announced the introduction of a proposal in Parliament, which would require the support of only a simple majority, which he is likely to give the Liberal Democrats and the Scottish National Party.
If the election is eventually held, Johnson’s party is likely to win. According to the British opinium agency of October 25, 2019, support for the Tories is 40%, followed by the Labour Party (24%) and the Labour Party (24%). and the Liberal Democrats (15%) and the Brexit Party (10%).
However, as Naomi Long explained, the number of seats in parliament that will go to the Conservatives depends on when the election is held.
“If the vote passes after the House of Commons supports the deal, the Tories are likely to have a majority of seats; if before, it is likely that they will lose their seats, – the politician said. ‘It’s possible that no one in the new parliament will have a majority, which means the prospect of Brexit will be as dim as ever.
At the same time, politicians from the Brexit Party are ready to support Boris Johnson in the parliament.